- Chief Rebel
- Posts
- 🏴☠️ The $12M Lie: How Brokers Trick You Into Overpricing Your Business
🏴☠️ The $12M Lie: How Brokers Trick You Into Overpricing Your Business
This week in Chief Rebel News: What one founder learned the hard way about fake valuations — and how we helped him rebuild a real one.


Adam thought he had it made.
His broker said his company was worth $12 million. They even had the teaser built, NDA signed, “buyers lined up.”
Ten months later?
No deal. No offers above $5M. A busted process.
Adam wasn’t the problem. His positioning was.
His broker told a story the market never believed.
And worse: it masked the real gaps inside his business.
Best Links
💰Sales: ”The most effective way for me to get good ideas was not to sit around and wait for them to occur. It was to take action so that the ideas could arrive. To start before I knew what I was doing.” How to come up with your next idea according to Quarter Mile.
🌟 Industry Trends:
Three more years until my daughter is ready to play this game. Teach your kids the right money habits and strategies for real-life application to create a long-lasting legacy.
🍏 Extra Credit:
A starter pack with all the essentials to level up your startup.
Why the Numbers Lie When You Don’t Know What to Look For
Adam’s financials looked “fine.”
$4.1M in revenue. $1.1M in EBITDA (on paper).
But dig deeper and the problems were obvious:
29% of revenue was from one customer
22% of EBITDA came from one one-time project
“Recurring” revenue wasn’t under contract
Owner took 40+ calls a week from clients
His broker used the top-line numbers.
We used the real ones.
Rebuilding the Business Before the Exit
Here’s what we actually did with Adam (long before going back to market):
Segmented Revenue: Broke out recurring vs. one-time
Fixed Customer Concentration: Mapped a 12-month plan to reduce reliance on 2 major accounts
Reduced Owner Dependency: Built a leadership plan so Adam could step out of ops and into managing strategy.
Profit Clarity: Rebuilt job costing to understand margin by segment
This wasn’t about painting a shinier picture.
It was about building a stronger business.
How to Reverse the Damage and Rebuild the Exit
We built Adam a new strategy to make his business more valuable, resilient, and ready for sale.
Here’s what it looked like for him:
Exit From Chaos
Identified fires he was still putting out weekly
Created a 90-day calendar to systematize delivery and free him up
Exit Through Systems
Designed SOPs for high-margin work
Shifted pricing model to reduce discounting and improve close rates
Exit To Choose
Reforecasted financials under new model
Built a hold-vs-sell model based on $7.2M–$8.1M realistic valuation
He didn’t just become ready to sell.
He became a CEO with options.
Action Steps This Week:
If you’re in the “maybe I’ll sell in 1–2 years” zone, now is the time to act:
✔ Pull your last 24 months of customer revenue.
→ Who’s contributing the most and who’s most at risk?
✔ Map out your team org chart.
→ Could they run without you for 2 weeks?
✔ Analyze gross margin by service line.
→ Where are you making money or losing it?
✔ Poke holes in your own business.
→ If a buyer showed up today, what would they find messy?
Before You Go
Adam thought he was selling a $12M business.
He wasn’t.
But we helped him build a real $8M business, one he could scale, hold, or sell.
No sidelines coaching or snake oil. Just strategic consulting that rebuilt his foundation.
You don’t need a broker who flatters you.
You need a guide who fixes what’s broken.
Want to talk through what your version of this looks like?
Reply and we’ll walk through your numbers together.
See you next week.
-Kinza
![]() |
|
Reply