• Chief Rebel
  • Posts
  • 🏴‍☠️ The $12M Lie: How Brokers Trick You Into Overpricing Your Business

🏴‍☠️ The $12M Lie: How Brokers Trick You Into Overpricing Your Business

This week in Chief Rebel News: What one founder learned the hard way about fake valuations — and how we helped him rebuild a real one.

leonardo dicaprio film GIF

Adam thought he had it made.
His broker said his company was worth $12 million. They even had the teaser built, NDA signed, “buyers lined up.”

Ten months later?
No deal. No offers above $5M. A busted process.

Adam wasn’t the problem. His positioning was.
His broker told a story the market never believed.
And worse: it masked the real gaps inside his business.

Best Links

💰Sales: ”The most effective way for me to get good ideas was not to sit around and wait for them to occur. It was to take action so that the ideas could arrive. To start before I knew what I was doing.” How to come up with your next idea according to Quarter Mile.

🌟 Industry Trends:
Three more years until my daughter is ready to play this game. Teach your kids the right money habits and strategies for real-life application to create a long-lasting legacy.

🍏 Extra Credit:
A starter pack with all the essentials to level up your startup.

Why the Numbers Lie When You Don’t Know What to Look For

Adam’s financials looked “fine.”
$4.1M in revenue. $1.1M in EBITDA (on paper).
But dig deeper and the problems were obvious:

  • 29% of revenue was from one customer

  • 22% of EBITDA came from one one-time project

  • “Recurring” revenue wasn’t under contract

  • Owner took 40+ calls a week from clients

His broker used the top-line numbers.
We used the real ones.

Rebuilding the Business Before the Exit

Here’s what we actually did with Adam (long before going back to market):

  • Segmented Revenue: Broke out recurring vs. one-time

  • Fixed Customer Concentration: Mapped a 12-month plan to reduce reliance on 2 major accounts

  • Reduced Owner Dependency: Built a leadership plan so Adam could step out of ops and into managing strategy.

  • Profit Clarity: Rebuilt job costing to understand margin by segment

This wasn’t about painting a shinier picture.
It was about building a stronger business.

How to Reverse the Damage and Rebuild the Exit

We built Adam a new strategy to make his business more valuable, resilient, and ready for sale.


Here’s what it looked like for him:

  1. Exit From Chaos

    • Identified fires he was still putting out weekly

    • Created a 90-day calendar to systematize delivery and free him up

  2. Exit Through Systems

    • Designed SOPs for high-margin work

    • Shifted pricing model to reduce discounting and improve close rates

  3. Exit To Choose

    • Reforecasted financials under new model

    • Built a hold-vs-sell model based on $7.2M–$8.1M realistic valuation

He didn’t just become ready to sell.
He became a CEO with options.

Action Steps This Week:

If you’re in the “maybe I’ll sell in 1–2 years” zone, now is the time to act:

✔ Pull your last 24 months of customer revenue.
→ Who’s contributing the most and who’s most at risk?

✔ Map out your team org chart.
→ Could they run without you for 2 weeks?

✔ Analyze gross margin by service line.
→ Where are you making money or losing it?

✔ Poke holes in your own business.
→ If a buyer showed up today, what would they find messy?

Before You Go

Adam thought he was selling a $12M business.
He wasn’t.

But we helped him build a real $8M business, one he could scale, hold, or sell.
No sidelines coaching or snake oil. Just strategic consulting that rebuilt his foundation.

You don’t need a broker who flatters you.
You need a guide who fixes what’s broken.

Want to talk through what your version of this looks like?
Reply and we’ll walk through your numbers together.

See you next week.

-Kinza

How'd you like today's newsletter?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Reply

or to participate.